Inductive Biases in ML Emulation of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings
A study evaluates how architectural inductive biases affect machine learning emulators' ability to capture sudden stratospheric warming dynamics in idealized simulations. Results show that three-dimensional vertical coupling is a key bias, with model performance diverging significantly during active SSW-like variability. However, low forecast error does not ensure accurate wave-mean-flow interactions, as coherent errors persist in stratospheric wave-driving structure.