A developer has created a World Cup 2026 prediction tool that uses historical data to simulate tournament outcomes. The application provides win probabilities and score predictions for any two national teams based on patterns learned from approximately 50,000 international matches spanning over a century.
- The model utilizes LightGBM combined with a Poisson-based goals model implemented in Python.
- It simulates the entire tournament 5,000 times to calculate the likelihood of each country winning the trophy.
- The system updates its predictions twice daily as new match results become available.
- The front-end features a 16-bit arcade aesthetic built with HTML, CSS, and JavaScript, hosted on Hugging Face Spaces via Gradio.
The tool allows users to track specific teams through the tournament or view overall probabilities for all participating nations.